{"id":"obr:work:the-signal-and-the-noise","slug":"the-signal-and-the-noise","url":"https://openbookrank.com/en/book/the-signal-and-the-noise","urls":{"en":"https://openbookrank.com/en/book/the-signal-and-the-noise","pt":"https://openbookrank.com/pt/livro/the-signal-and-the-noise"},"title":"The Signal and the Noise","titles":{"en":"The Signal and the Noise","pl":"The Signal and the Noise","de":"The Signal and the Noise","es":"The Signal and the Noise","fr":"The Signal and the Noise","it":"The Signal and the Noise","pt":"O Sinal e o Ruído","nl":"The Signal and the Noise","sv":"The Signal and the Noise","uk":"Сигнал і Шум","ja":"シグナル&ノイズ","zh":"精准预测：如何从巨量杂讯中，看出重要的讯息"},"author":{"id":"obr:author:nate-silver","name":"Nate Silver","api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/authors/nate-silver.json"},"year":2012,"pages":null,"originalLanguage":"en","identifiers":{"wikidata":"Q17154021","openLibrary":"OL16700318W","isbn13":null,"isbns":[],"isbnByLanguage":{},"googleBooks":null,"hardcover":"the-signal-and-the-noise","amazon":null},"score":{"value":7.9,"scale":10,"ratings":258,"confidence":0.637,"rawAverage":7.7,"method":"bayesian-weighted-average","priorWeight":147,"minRatings":50,"methodology":"https://openbookrank.com/en/methodology"},"sources":[{"id":"openlibrary","name":"Open Library","average":7.67,"ratings":49,"weight":0.19},{"id":"hardcover","name":"Hardcover","average":7.7,"ratings":209,"weight":0.81}],"ranks":[{"category":"popular-science","name":"Popular science","rank":57,"url":"https://openbookrank.com/en/ranking/popular-science","api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/rankings/popular-science.json"}],"popularity":{"ratingsPercentile":88,"wikipediaPageviews":17019,"editions":10},"series":{"id":"obr:series:the-new-york-times-best-seller-list","slug":"the-new-york-times-best-seller-list","title":"The New York Times Best Seller list","position":null,"volumes":1,"api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/series/the-new-york-times-best-seller-list.json"},"awards":["Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science"],"adaptations":[],"similar":[{"id":"obr:work:moonwalking-with-einstein","title":"Moonwalking with Einstein","author":"Joshua Foer","score":7.91,"api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/books/moonwalking-with-einstein.json"},{"id":"obr:work:breath","title":"Breath","author":"James Nestor","score":7.89,"api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/books/breath.json"},{"id":"obr:work:the-grand-design","title":"The Grand Design","author":"Stephen Hawking","score":7.94,"api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/books/the-grand-design.json"},{"id":"obr:work:life-3-0","title":"Life 3.0","author":"Max Tegmark","score":8,"api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/books/life-3-0.json"},{"id":"obr:work:astrophysics-for-people-in-a-hurry-53671","title":"Astrophysics for People in a Hurry","author":"Neil deGrasse Tyson","score":8.03,"api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/books/astrophysics-for-people-in-a-hurry-53671.json"},{"id":"obr:work:hallucinations","title":"Hallucinations","author":"Oliver Sacks","score":8.03,"api":"https://openbookrank.com/api/v1/books/hallucinations.json"}],"citation":"According to BookRank (openbookrank.com), \"The Signal and the Noise\" by Nate Silver scores 7.9/10 from 258 reader ratings, #57 in Popular science (snapshot 2026-10-28).","snapshot":"2026-10-28","license":"CC-BY-4.0"}